On Thursday 17 September 2026, Atlanta Dream play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +14.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +14.5 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

For Connecticut Sun to cover the spread, they need to keep the game close against the Atlanta Dream. The Sun have struggled lately, winning only 3 of their last 10 games, but the Dream have let their opponents score a lot from three-point range and grab plenty of rebounds. Connecticut has a solid chance here because the Dream have been giving up rebounds and threes, which could help the Sun stay competitive. The biggest risk is that the Dream are currently on a better winning streak. Still, with the spread at 14.5, this pick seems promising. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 170.5 Total Points (-115)

Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing

The bet on under 170.5 total points offers a solid chance because our numbers suggest the combined score will be around 166.1. Both teams have been pretty close in scoring lately, and with a travel distance favoring Atlanta, they should be well-rested. However, since the matchup is so tight, it could go either way. Keep an eye on how both teams perform early on, as that might set the tone for scoring. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

DeWanna Bonner Over 7.5 Points (+110)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Tonight, DeWanna Bonner needs to score more than 7.5 points for this bet to win. She's been a strong player for the Connecticut Sun, but they've struggled lately, winning only 3 of their last 10 games. On the other hand, the Atlanta Dream have been doing well, winning 7 of their last 10, which could put a lot of pressure on the Sun's defense. Bonner has a good chance to hit that points mark because the Dream allow a decent number of threes, and they give up a fair amount of rebounds. However, it's worth noting that Bonner has been less effective recently, with fewer attempts at the basket. Still, with the right opportunities, she can easily reach that total tonight. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Angel Reese Over 28.5 Points and Rebounds (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Angel Reese has been on fire lately, scoring nearly 20 points and pulling down a good amount of rebounds each game. She's also been getting more steals than usual, which shows she's really active on both ends. The Atlanta Dream will need her to step up against the Connecticut Sun, who can put up a strong fight. The risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so it might be a tough battle. Overall, betting on Reese to get over 28.5 combined points and rebounds seems like a solid choice given her recent form. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Naz Hillmon Over 4.5 Rebounds (-111)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

Naz Hillmon needs to grab more than 4.5 rebounds for this bet to pay off tonight. She has been showing some solid form lately with an average of 10.2 points and a good number of shots taken from beyond the arc. This scoring ability can help keep her in the game longer, giving her more chances to rebound. The matchup with the Connecticut Sun is tough since both teams are pretty evenly matched. One risk is that Hillmon could face stiff competition for rebounds in the paint, especially since the teams are so close in overall performance. Still, with her recent play, there's a good chance she can step up and hit that mark. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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