On Thursday 17 September 2026, Atlanta Dream play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +14 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +14 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

For Connecticut Sun to cover the spread tonight, they need to keep the game close against the Atlanta Dream. The Dream have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but the Sun have a solid chance to stay competitive. They allow fewer rebounds than the Dream, giving them a bit of an advantage in that area. Also, the Dream tend to give up a lot of three-point attempts, which could help the Sun if they get hot from beyond the arc. A concrete risk is that the Dream are favored to win by about 10 points, so the Sun will need to play at their best. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 169 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The odds for this game suggest we might see a low-scoring affair, with a total set at 169 points. Our numbers are predicting the combined score will be around 166, so betting on under 169 feels reasonable. Both teams have had their ups and downs in scoring lately, and the Connecticut Sun has a slight travel disadvantage, making it harder for them to put up big numbers. One risk to consider is how closely matched these teams are, with just a small difference in their winning percentages. If the game gets competitive, it could push the score higher than expected. Still, given the trends and travel distance, under 169 looks like a smart choice. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

DeWanna Bonner Over 7.5 Points (+110)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Tonight, DeWanna Bonner needs to score more than 7.5 points for this bet to win. She's been a strong player for the Connecticut Sun, but they've struggled lately, winning only 3 of their last 10 games. On the other hand, the Atlanta Dream have been doing well, winning 7 of their last 10, which could put a lot of pressure on the Sun's defense. Bonner has a good chance to hit that points mark because the Dream allow a decent number of threes, and they give up a fair amount of rebounds. However, it's worth noting that Bonner has been less effective recently, with fewer attempts at the basket. Still, with the right opportunities, she can easily reach that total tonight. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Angel Reese Over 28.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Angel Reese has been on fire lately, scoring nearly 20 points and pulling down a good amount of rebounds each game. She's also been getting more steals than usual, which shows she's really active on both ends. The Atlanta Dream will need her to step up against the Connecticut Sun, who can put up a strong fight. The risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so it might be a tough battle. Overall, betting on Reese to get over 28.5 combined points and rebounds seems like a solid choice given her recent form. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Naz Hillmon Over 4.5 Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Naz Hillmon needs to grab more than 4.5 rebounds for this bet to pay off tonight. She has been showing some solid form lately with an average of 10.2 points and a good number of shots taken from beyond the arc. This scoring ability can help keep her in the game longer, giving her more chances to rebound. The matchup with the Connecticut Sun is tough since both teams are pretty evenly matched. One risk is that Hillmon could face stiff competition for rebounds in the paint, especially since the teams are so close in overall performance. Still, with her recent play, there's a good chance she can step up and hit that mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article