Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Picks (Chelsea Gray Key Factor): Stat-Based Insights

At Climate Pledge Arena, the Seattle Storm face off against the Las Vegas Aces. Our numbers suggest this game will have lower scoring, with a combined total around 156.9 points. The Storm have been struggling lately, and their recent scoring has been quite low. The Aces also aren't putting up huge numbers on offense right now. The real risk here is that both teams are fairly close in skill, which could lead to a more competitive game than expected. Still, it looks like the total points will likely stay under 183.5. It was priced at -286 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.50 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chelsea Gray Under 6.5 Assists (-110)

Chelsea Gray needs to record fewer than 7 assists for this bet to win. She has been on a bit of a run, but the matchup against the Seattle Storm could make it tricky. The Storm have been solid defensively, grabbing more defensive rebounds lately, which might limit the chances for assists. Also, Gray has had a tendency to dish out fewer assists in recent games. With the Storm focusing on shutting down plays, it's possible she won't reach that mark. The most concrete risk is that this matchup is pretty close, and both teams are coming in with something to prove. Let's see if she can keep the numbers down tonight! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jackie Young Under 25.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Jackie Young from the Las Vegas Aces is facing off against the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena. She's been struggling a bit lately, averaging just under four rebounds and three points in her last few games. That's not quite what we'd expect from her, especially since she typically brings in a higher number of both rebounds and points. With our numbers showing this matchup is close to a coin flip, it's a risky bet. The Storm can be tough on defense, and Young's recent performance might not be enough to push her over 25.5 combined points and rebounds. It's definitely worth considering, but just know that she might not hit those numbers based on her last few games. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dominique Malonga Under 18.5 Points (-112)

Dominique Malonga has been scoring a bit less lately, making this bet on her to score under 18.5 points an interesting choice. She's been making around 0.6 three-pointers and getting to the free-throw line for about five attempts per game, which shows she can score, but it doesn't add up to a big number. The Seattle Storm are up against the Las Vegas Aces, who are tough on defense, so that could make it even harder for her to rack up points. Both teams are pretty competitive, and the stats show Malonga hasn't been hitting her scoring mark as often recently. While she's got the skills to shine, the Aces' defense and her current form make this bet feel like a reasonable option. Just remember, sometimes players can surprise us, and she could have a great night. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Seattle Storm v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.