On Thursday 17 September 2026, Atlanta Dream play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +14.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Connecticut Sun +14.5 on the Line (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
For Connecticut Sun to cover the spread, they need to keep the game close against the Atlanta Dream. The Sun have struggled lately, winning only 3 of their last 10 games, but the Dream have let their opponents score a lot from three-point range and grab plenty of rebounds. Connecticut has a solid chance here because the Dream have been giving up rebounds and threes, which could help the Sun stay competitive. The biggest risk is that the Dream are currently on a better winning streak. Still, with the spread at 14.5, this pick seems promising. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 169.5 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Betting on under 169.5 total points between the Atlanta Dream and Connecticut Sun looks promising at these odds. Our numbers suggest the combined score will be around 166.1, which is a bit lower than what's needed for this bet to lose. Both teams are known for their solid defense, and that makes it tougher to rack up a lot of points. One thing to watch out for is how closely matched these teams are, with only a small difference in winning percentages. The Dream also have a travel advantage, so they might be more rested and focused. Still, if scoring is slow, this bet could turn out well. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Angel Reese Over 28.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Angel Reese has been on fire lately, putting up a lot of points and grabbing rebounds. In her last five games, she's scored nearly 20 points on average and made about 8 field goals each game. It looks like she's also been doing better than usual with steals and has a solid plus-minus, showing she's helping her team a lot on both ends of the court. The bet of her going over 28.5 points and rebounds seems promising, but keep in mind that the matchup is close, so anything could happen. The Connecticut Sun have been tough opponents, and they can challenge her scoring. Still, if Reese keeps playing like she has, she could definitely hit that mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Naz Hillmon Over 4.5 Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Naz Hillmon needs to grab more than 4.5 rebounds for this bet to pay off tonight. She has been showing some solid form lately with an average of 10.2 points and a good number of shots taken from beyond the arc. This scoring ability can help keep her in the game longer, giving her more chances to rebound. The matchup with the Connecticut Sun is tough since both teams are pretty evenly matched. One risk is that Hillmon could face stiff competition for rebounds in the paint, especially since the teams are so close in overall performance. Still, with her recent play, there's a good chance she can step up and hit that mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Tonight, DeWanna Bonner needs to score more than 7.5 points for this bet to win. She's been a strong player for the Connecticut Sun, but they've struggled lately, winning only 3 of their last 10 games. On the other hand, the Atlanta Dream have been doing well, winning 7 of their last 10, which could put a lot of pressure on the Sun's defense. Bonner has a good chance to hit that points mark because the Dream allow a decent number of threes, and they give up a fair amount of rebounds. However, it's worth noting that Bonner has been less effective recently, with fewer attempts at the basket. Still, with the right opportunities, she can easily reach that total tonight. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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