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WNBA predictions for Sunday, October 4: the model backs Valkyries

2 WNBA games on Sunday. The model's strongest pick is Valkyries +1.5, a HIGH-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Sunday, October 4. See today's WNBA predictions

New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream

Sun Oct 4, 3:00 PM ET
Our pick: Under 173.5 points-110

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The bet needs the total points scored in the game between Atlanta Dream and New York Liberty to stay under 173.5.

Las Vegas Aces at Golden State Valkyries

Sun Oct 4, 4:00 PM ET
Top pick: Valkyries +1.5 (they can lose by up to 1 and the bet still wins)-110

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Golden State Valkyries have been on a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 games.

How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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