On Monday 14 September 2026, Villarreal play Levante in La Liga. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Villarreal vs Levante: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-588)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Villarreal takes on Levante, the stage is set for a thrilling encounter with plenty of potential for goals. Villarreal has shown a strong attacking display at home, averaging 3.2 goals in their last five matches at Estadio de la Cerámica, while Levante has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals away. Moreover, Villarreal's recent form against Levante is telling; they've managed to score multiple times in three out of their last four meetings. With Villarreal consistently generating 14 shots per game and boasting an impressive 2.2 assists on average, they’re creating ample chances to find the back of the net. Although Levante's scoring has dipped, their occasional spark could see them contribute to the total. With an implied probability of 80.1% for over 1.5 goals, the odds favor a lively outing where both teams find the net at least twice.

Villarreal vs Levante: Villarreal Draw No Bet (-417)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Villarreal prepares to host Levante, recent trends heavily favor the home side. Despite a mixed bag of results recently, Villarreal shines at home with an impressive scoring average of 3.2 goals over their last five home matches. Their ability to create opportunities is highlighted by averaging 14 shots per game, showcasing an attacking intent that Levante's defense, which has struggled on the road, will find hard to contain. Conversely, Levante's away form is concerning, with a paltry average of just 0.8 goals scored in their last five away games. Their xG metrics further emphasize this, as they've struggled to generate meaningful chances. Historically, Villarreal has also had Levante's number, winning three out of the last four encounters. With a solid home advantage and Levante's ongoing woes, betting on Villarreal in the Draw No Bet market feels like a savvy move.

That is how our model reads Villarreal v Levante. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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