On Friday 18 September 2026, Villarreal play Levante in La Liga. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -667 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Villarreal welcomes Levante, a compelling narrative unfolds, especially around the goal-scoring prospects. Despite Villarreal's recent struggles—sitting at 0-2-3 over their last five—their home form tells a different story, averaging a solid 3 goals per game at home. That firepower, combined with Levante's shaky defense, which has seen them concede 1.4 goals away, sets the stage for a high-scoring affair. Historically, Villarreal has enjoyed a dominant run against Levante, boasting a 3-0-1 record in their last four meetings. On top of that, the Yellow Submarine's xG numbers indicate they’ve been creating chances, even if the goals haven’t always followed. With Levante’s struggles to keep it tight on the road, backing over 1.5 goals feels not just safe, but almost a foregone conclusion. Expect fireworks in this clash!
Villarreal vs Levante: Villarreal Draw No Bet (-455)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Villarreal prepares to face Levante, the Yellow Submarine holds a notable edge, particularly in their head-to-head matchups, with a dominant 3-0-1 record over the last five encounters. While Villarreal's recent home form has been mixed, they’ve shown resilience, averaging a solid 1.4 goals per game despite facing fierce opposition. Levante, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, managing just 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches, which suggests they might find it hard to penetrate Villarreal's defense. Moreover, Villarreal's attacking stats are on the rise with 15 shots per game and over 6.4 shots on target recently, hinting at an increased likelihood of scoring. With a draw no bet market, you’re essentially backing the home side to at least avoid defeat, and given Levante's away woes, it feels like a wise investment.
Villarreal vs Levante: Over 7.5 Total Corners (-400)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Villarreal gears up to face Levante, there’s a compelling case for an 'Over 7.5' corners bet. Villarreal’s recent home matches have been corner-heavy, averaging around 14.2 shots per game, which naturally leads to a flurry of corners. Their inclination to push forward has resulted in a consistent average of about 6.6 shots on target at home. Meanwhile, Levante's away form showcases a tendency to concede corners, with their last five away games averaging 1.4 corners earned, highlighting their struggle to maintain possession. With both teams sporting a combined average of over 15 shots per game recently, it’s reasonable to expect that the corners will pile up, especially considering Villarreal has a strong record against Levante, winning three of their last five encounters. All signs point to a lively game with plenty of corner opportunities, making the 'Over 7.5' a savvy pick.
That is how our model reads Villarreal v Levante. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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