On Thursday 17 September 2026, Villarreal play Levante in La Liga. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Villarreal prepares to host Levante, the stage is set for a match that promises goals. Villarreal's recent home form shows a tendency to entertain, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game and allowing 2 in their last five home outings. Despite a shaky run, their offense remains capable, with an impressive average of 14.2 shots per match at home. On the other hand, Levante, struggling on the road with only 0.8 goals scored in their last five away matches, faces a tough challenge. However, they tend to concede, averaging 1.4 goals against away from home. With Villarreal’s recent history against Levante favoring them (3 wins in the last 5 matchups), expecting at least two goals in this clash feels like a reasonable call. The trends and stats align, making 'Over 1.5' a compelling bet here.
Villarreal vs Levante: Villarreal Draw No Bet (-417)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Villarreal prepares to host Levante, the stats paint a compelling picture favoring the Yellow Submarine. Recent form shows Villarreal has struggled at home, managing just two wins in five, yet they’ve historically dominated this matchup, winning three of the last four encounters. Their attacking average at home stands at 1.4 goals, which may not seem impressive, but it’s crucial to note Levante’s away woes. The visitors have only mustered an average of 0.8 goals in their last five away matches, failing to find their rhythm. Villarreal’s xG might be low, yet they’ve shown hints of creativity with 15 shots per game, suggesting they could break through Levante's defense. Given Levante's away struggles and Villarreal's superior head-to-head record, the Draw No Bet on Villarreal feels like a smart play. With an implied probability of 77.2%, this bet carries a real sense of confidence heading into kickoff.
Villarreal vs Levante: Over 2.5 Total Goals (-189)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Villarreal prepares to host Levante, the stage is set for a potential goal fest. Recent performances show Villarreal scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game, but their home games reveal a higher trend, netting 3 goals at home recently. Meanwhile, Levante has struggled away, averaging just 0.8 goals but conceding 1.4, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. The last five matchups between these two teams have seen Villarreal dominate, boasting a solid record of 3 wins and just one draw, hinting at their attacking prowess against Levante. With Villarreal’s home ground advantage and both teams averaging over 2 goals in their latest outings, betting on over 2.5 goals feels like a savvy play. The stats and recent form align, making this matchup ripe for an exciting, high-scoring encounter.
That is how our model reads Villarreal v Levante. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article