On Monday 28 September 2026, Valencia play Athletic Bilbao in La Liga. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Valencia Moneyline, priced at +245 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao: Valencia Moneyline (+245)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Valencia prepares to clash with Athletic Bilbao, the home side will be eager to turn the tide after a rough patch. Their recent record may not inspire confidence, with just one win in their last five home matches, yet their history against Bilbao tells a different story—Valencia boasts a solid 3-0-2 record in the last five encounters. While their scoring has dipped, averaging only 0.8 goals recently, they’ve consistently created chances, averaging over 10 shots per game. On the flip side, Bilbao has shown vulnerability away, conceding an average of 2 goals in their last five games. Given Valencia's home advantage and their knack for turning up against Bilbao, a bet on them to win seems like a promising prospect. It’s a calculated risk that could pay off handsomely.

Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao: Valencia +0 Goal Handicap (+135)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Valencia's recent form might not inspire confidence, with just one win in their last five home matches, but they have historically held their own against Athletic Bilbao. The home side boasts a solid record against Bilbao, with three wins in the last five encounters, which gives them a psychological edge. While Valencia has struggled to find the net, averaging only 0.8 goals in recent matches, they’ve been creating chances, firing off over 10 shots per game. Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, has shown vulnerability away from home, conceding an average of two goals in their last five away games. With Valencia's tenacity and their strong head-to-head history, a handicap bet on them at 0 feels like a savvy play. If they can harness their attacking potential, they might just deliver the performance fans are yearning for.

That is how our model reads Valencia v Athletic Bilbao. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article