Max Scherzer (TOR) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Max Scherzer for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is statistically sound given his recent performance data. Scherzer's last five games show an average of 4 hits allowed overall, and 3.6 hits allowed at home. This is significantly higher than the line of 1.5 hits, suggesting a high probability of this bet being successful. Furthermore, when facing the Angels, his average hits allowed increases to 4.5. His overall and home hit streaks of 9 and 17 respectively also indicate a consistent pattern of allowing more than 1.5 hits. Although his innings pitched and outs average are relatively high, they don't negate the fact that his hits allowed have been consistently over the line set for this bet. Therefore, the data supports the choice of betting Over 1.5 on Scherzer's hits allowed.

George Springer (TOR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting under 0.5 for George Springer's stolen bases is a wise choice considering his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Springer's overall stolen base average is just 0.4, and his home game stolen base average stands at zero. This indicates a low likelihood of him stealing a base in the upcoming game. Additionally, when playing against the Angels, Springer's stolen base average remains at zero, suggesting that this particular opponent does not significantly change his base-stealing tendencies. Furthermore, his current hit streak, both overall and at home, stands at only one game, which doesn't suggest an imminent upturn in base-stealing. Therefore, the data suggests that it is statistically unlikely for Springer to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a strong choice.

Luis Rengifo (LAA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Luis Rengifo for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Despite his impressive hit streak, his stolen base statistics are quite low. His last five overall and away games show an average of zero stolen bases, indicating that he has not been successful in stealing bases recently. Even when considering his performance against the opponent, the Toronto Blue Jays, his stolen base average is only 0.2. This implies that even when he gets hits, he rarely attempts or succeeds in stealing bases. Therefore, the bet on Rengifo for Under 0.5 stolen bases is statistically sound, based on his recent performance data.

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