Today's Top MLS Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Sunday 09/27 (Eric Bailly Highlights): Stat Projections & Picks

As Columbus Crew SC welcomes Inter Miami CF, all eyes will be on Eric Bailly, who presents an intriguing opportunity in the Player Total Shots market. While his recent averages may not scream potential—averaging just 0.2 shots overall and zero at home—what's compelling is the matchup itself. The Crew's home turf can ignite unexpected performances, and Bailly's defensive position might just see him pushing forward more than usual against a Miami side that tends to leave gaps. With the Crew needing a spark, Bailly’s defensive instincts could lead him into the attack, especially as the game unfolds and Columbus seeks to dominate possession. The model suggests a slight edge for the Over 1.5 shots, hinting that Bailly could find himself in positions to let one fly. It’s a gamble with low expectations, but sometimes, the stars align for an unexpected surge—this could be Bailly’s moment.

Eric Bailly (Columbus Crew SC) Over 0.5 Shots (+200)

In the matchup between Columbus Crew SC and Inter Miami CF, targeting Eric Bailly for over 0.5 total shots feels like a savvy play. While his recent form shows he’s not exactly a prolific shooter, the context here is key. Playing at home, the Crew will be pressing for dominance, potentially leaving Bailly with opportunities to burst forward from defense, especially against a Miami side that’s been vulnerable on the counter. Moreover, with his current hit streak, there’s a spark of momentum building for Bailly. The Crew have historically created chances from set pieces, where Bailly’s presence could see him sneak a shot in. At a line of just 0.5, we're not asking for much—just that he gets one decent opportunity in an attacking scenario. Given the circumstances, it feels like the stars are aligning for Bailly to register that first shot, making this an enticing bet to consider.

That is the model's read on today's MLS card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.