Here are our AFL picks for Saturday 5 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Will Lewis (Western Bulldogs) Over 0.5 Goals, priced at -147 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Will Lewis (Western Bulldogs) Over 0.5 Goals (-147)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adelaide Crows play Western Bulldogs in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Will Lewis (Western Bulldogs) Over 0.5 Goals. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Callum Ah Chee (Adelaide Crows) Over 11.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adelaide Crows play Western Bulldogs in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Callum Ah Chee (Adelaide Crows) Over 11.5 Disposals. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) Over 17.5 player_kicks_over (-175)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adelaide Crows play Western Bulldogs in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) Over 17.5 player_kicks_over. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) Over 79.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over (-222)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adelaide Crows play Western Bulldogs in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) Over 79.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over. It was priced at -222 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhylee West (Western Bulldogs) Over 0.5 Goals (-133)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adelaide Crows play Western Bulldogs in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Rhylee West (Western Bulldogs) Over 0.5 Goals. It was priced at -133 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) Over 22.5 Disposals (-189)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adelaide Crows play Western Bulldogs in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) Over 22.5 Disposals. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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