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ATP tennis predictions for Wednesday, October 28: the model backs Alex de Minaur

9 ATP tennis matches on Wednesday. The model's strongest pick is Alex de Minaur -0.5, a HIGH-confidence call.

By Isabella Rossi · Published Oct 27, 12:00 AM UTC · Updated Oct 27, 11:51 AM UTC

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev

Wed Oct 28, 10:30 AM UTC
Our pick: Daniel Merida Aguilar +4 (they can lose by up to 3 games and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 4 games and your stake comes back)+105

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Daniel Merida Aguilar has been showing some good form lately, and he's up against Daniil Medvedev, who is a tough opponent.

Full Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev preview →

Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Wed Oct 28, 10:30 AM UTC
Our pick: Jurij Rodionov +1 (they must not lose; lose by exactly 1 games and your stake comes back)+107

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Jurij Rodionov is set to face Nikoloz Basilashvili in a tightly matched contest.

Full Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili preview →

Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur

Wed Oct 28, 10:30 AM UTC
Top pick: Alex de Minaur -0.5 (they must win by 1 or more games)-110

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Alex de Minaur has been playing really well lately, showing off his speed and skill on the court.

Full Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur preview →

Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe

Wed Oct 28, 10:30 AM UTC
Frances Tiafoe at Lorenzo Musetti · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe preview →

Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima

Wed Oct 28, 10:30 AM UTC
Brandon Nakashima at Tallon Griekspoor · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima preview →

Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert

Wed Oct 28, 11:00 AM UTC
Ugo Humbert at Novak Djokovic · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert preview →

Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud

Wed Oct 28, 11:00 AM UTC
Casper Ruud at Nuno Borges · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud preview →

Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata

Wed Oct 28, 11:00 AM UTC
Rinky Hijikata at Taylor Fritz · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata preview →

Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Wed Oct 28, 11:00 AM UTC
Jan-Lennard Struff at Yannick Hanfmann · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan-Lennard Struff preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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