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ATP tennis predictions for Sunday, October 11: the model backs Yi Zhou

8 ATP tennis matches on Sunday. The model's strongest pick is Yi Zhou +4, a HIGH-confidence call. 1 more match has a HIGH-confidence pick.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea

Sun Oct 11, 4:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Arthur Gea +3 (they can lose by up to 2 games and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 3 games and your stake comes back)+101

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

Ben Shelton and Arthur Gea are set to face off in a highly anticipated match.

Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino

Sun Oct 11, 4:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Adrian Mannarino +3.5 (they can lose by up to 3 games and the bet still wins)+103

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Karen Khachanov and Adrian Mannarino are set for a tight match, with both players showing strong skills.

Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto

Sun Oct 11, 5:10 AM UTC
Rei Sakamoto at Alex de Minaur · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou

Sun Oct 11, 5:10 AM UTC
Top pick: Yi Zhou +4 (they can lose by up to 3 games and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 4 games and your stake comes back)+102

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

The odds for Yi Zhou at +102 are pretty appealing, especially since our numbers show he has a good chance of keeping the match close against Hubert Hurkacz.

Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik

Sun Oct 11, 6:20 AM UTC
Jakub Mensik at Francisco Cerundolo · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima

Sun Oct 11, 7:30 AM UTC
Brandon Nakashima at Alexander Bublik · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys

Sun Oct 11, 10:00 AM UTC
Quentin Halys at Alexander Zverev · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe

Sun Oct 11, 11:10 AM UTC
Frances Tiafoe at Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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