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ATP tennis predictions for Saturday, October 10: the model backs Pavel Kotov

15 ATP tennis matches on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Pavel Kotov +5, a HIGH-confidence call. 2 more matches have a HIGH-confidence pick.

By Isabella Rossi · Published Oct 9, 12:00 AM UTC

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Pablo Carreno Busta +2.5 (they can lose by up to 2 games and the bet still wins)-108

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Alejandro Tabilo and Pablo Carreno Busta are set for a tight match, with our numbers showing it's almost a coin flip.

Full Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta preview →

Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Top pick: Pavel Kotov +5 (they can lose by up to 4 games and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 5 games and your stake comes back)-109

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

For this match, Pavel Kotov needs to keep the score close or win against Arthur Fils.

Full Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov preview →

Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Botic van de Zandschulp +1.5 (they can lose by up to 1 games and the bet still wins)+113

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Botic van de Zandschulp is listed at +113 to win with a game handicap of +1.5 against Alex Michelsen.

Full Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen preview →

Bu Yunchaokete vs Casper Ruud

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Casper Ruud at Bu Yunchaokete · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Bu Yunchaokete vs Casper Ruud preview →

Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Tomas Martin Etcheverry at Dalibor Svrcina · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry preview →

Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Jan-Lennard Struff at Daniil Medvedev · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff preview →

Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Zizou Bergs at Ignacio Buse · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs preview →

Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Nuno Borges at Jiri Lehecka · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges preview →

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Carlos Alcaraz at Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz preview →

Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Zachary Svajda at Learner Tien · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda preview →

Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Stefanos Tsitsipas at Luciano Darderi · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas preview →

Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Taylor Fritz at Matteo Arnaldi · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz preview →

Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Valentin Vacherot at Sebastian Baez · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot preview →

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Rafael Jodar at Thiago Agustin Tirante · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar preview →

Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Sat Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at Tommy Paul · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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