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Soccer

Atlético Madrid

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Next Game: vs Villarreal (Home) Sun 23 Aug, 3:00PM
Model updated Aug 4, 9:51AM UTC
Answer
The Atlético Madrid model is leaning the over in the Total Goals market vs Villarreal.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Total Goals
Over 0.5
Odds: -2000
Model prob: 96.3%
+1.0%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
Total GoalsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Both Teams to ScoreProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Draw No BetProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Head to HeadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Head to Head 3-WayProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 6 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for Soccer. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Model Performance History

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0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

1 market live
Moneylinevs Villarreal (H)No line posted
11-5-4W-D-L, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.7GA/g1.0
Last 10 results5 W / 10

Atlético Madrid have gone 11-5-4 over their last 20 matches, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 goals per game.

Both Teams to Scorevs Villarreal (H)No line posted
50%both teams scored, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.7GA/g1.0
Both scored (last 10)5 / 10 both scored

Both teams have scored in 50% of Atlético Madrid's last 20 matches.

Total Goalsvs Villarreal (H)Over +0.5 -2000
96%model over %
45%over 2.5, last 20 2024-25
Avg goals2.7
Over 2.5 (last 10)6 / 10 over

Over 2.5 goals landed in 45% of Atlético Madrid's last 20 matches (avg 2.7 goals); the model prices Over at 96% here.

About This Team

Atlético Madrid are tracked by the Bet Better model across Soccer games. Their next game is against Villarreal on Sunday 23 August. Use the data above to inform your Soccer betting decisions for Atlético Madrid.

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