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La Liga

La Liga predictions for Saturday, October 10: the model leans Getafe

4 La Liga matches on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Getafe +2.25, a LEAN-confidence call.

By Javier Morales · Published Oct 9, 12:00 AM UK · Updated Oct 9, 10:43 PM UK

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

Sat Oct 10, 1:00 PM UK
Our pick: Rayo to win (money back on a draw)+114

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Rayo Vallecano prepares to host Athletic Bilbao, the home side's form at Estadio de Vallecas is a key factor in this matchup.

Full Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao preview →

Alavés vs Atlético Madrid

Sat Oct 10, 3:15 PM UK
Our pick: Alavés +0.25 (a split line: some results give back part of your stake)+135

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Alavés prepares to host Atlético Madrid, the stage is set for an intriguing clash.

Full Alavés vs Atlético Madrid preview →

Barcelona vs Getafe

Sat Oct 10, 5:30 PM UK
Top pick: Getafe +2.25 (a split line: some results give back part of your stake)+110

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Barcelona welcomes Getafe, it’s hard to overlook the stark contrast in form.

Full Barcelona vs Getafe preview →

Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Sat Oct 10, 8:00 PM UK
Villarreal at Real Madrid · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Real Madrid vs Villarreal preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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