On Saturday 24 October 2026, Sassuolo play Lazio in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Both Teams To Score: No, priced at +140 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Sassuolo vs Lazio: Both Teams To Score: No (+140)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Sassuolo prepares to host Lazio, the narrative leans towards a match where goals might be scarce. While Sassuolo averages 1.8 goals per game, their defensive frailties have seen them concede an alarming 2.2 in recent outings. In contrast, Lazio has been rock-solid on the road, showcasing a meager 0.6 goals conceded away from home in their last five matches. With Sassuolo's recent form revealing a shaky home record, and Lazio riding high with four wins in their last five, the balance tips decidedly in favor of a low-scoring affair. Both teams have struggled to convert opportunities, highlighted by their xG stats that show little promise for a goal-fest. Given these trends, betting on "No" for Both Teams to Score feels like a savvy play in this Serie A clash.

Sassuolo vs Lazio: Lazio -0.25 Goal Handicap (+105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Lazio heads to Sassuolo, the momentum is firmly in their favor. The visitors boast an impressive away record, winning four of their last five matches, while Sassuolo struggles with just one win in their last five at home. Recent form shows Lazio scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game, compared to Sassuolo's lackluster 1.8, and their defense is significantly tighter, allowing just 0.8 goals per outing. With Lazio's attacking prowess and Sassuolo's defensive vulnerabilities, the numbers are telling a compelling story. The hosts have allowed 2.2 goals on average in their last five, creating a ripe opportunity for Lazio to exploit. Given Lazio's dominance against Sassuolo historically, backing them at -0.25 in the handicap market seems like a savvy move. Expect Lazio to continue their winning ways and deliver a solid performance on the road.

Sassuolo vs Lazio: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-233)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Sassuolo prepares to host Lazio, the stage is set for a tactical showdown, and I see a low-scoring affair on the horizon. Sassuolo has struggled to find the back of the net recently, averaging just 1.8 goals over their last five matches. Their home form reflects a slight uptick, but with an xG rate hovering near zero, it's clear that creating quality chances has been a challenge. On the flip side, Lazio has been solid defensively, conceding just 0.8 goals per game in their recent run. Their away matches have shown a similar trend, allowing only 0.6 goals while scoring an average of 1.6. With both teams presenting a case for defensive resilience, betting on the Under 3.5 total goals seems like a wise choice here; the tactical approach is likely to keep the scoreline in check. Expect a battle of wits rather than a goal fest!

That is how our model reads Sassuolo v Lazio. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article