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NHL predictions for Wednesday, September 30: the model backs Kings

3 NHL games on Wednesday. The model's strongest pick is Kings +1.5, a HIGH-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Wednesday, September 30. See today's NHL predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

Wed Sep 30, 7:30 PM ET
Our pick: Under 5.5 goals+114

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Betting on under 5.5 total goals at +114 for the Flyers against the Penguins makes sense given the teams' scoring trends.

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

Wed Sep 30, 7:30 PM ET
Our pick: Over 6.5 goals+114

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Toronto Maple Leafs and New York Islanders are set to face off at Scotiabank Arena, and both teams have shown some interesting scoring trends this season.

Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

Wed Sep 30, 10:00 PM ET
Top pick: Kings +1.5 (they can lose by up to 1 and the bet still wins)-154

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Colorado Avalanche have been scoring a lot lately, averaging over three and a half goals per game.

How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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