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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Chargers
VS
Las Vegas Raiders

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 20, 5:55AM UTC

Our model graded 4 markets for Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders and backs Los Angeles Chargers -3.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $191.

NFL
Las Vegas
Tue 16 Sep 2025, 2:00AM
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Los Angeles Chargers -3.5 Spread -110

The model graded 4 markets for Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 16 Sep 2025, 2:00AM at Las Vegas.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win60.2%
The price says52.4%
Best price-110
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Los Angeles Chargers -3.5 High60% chance -110
Total Points Members only Lean59% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders last met on Tue 16 Sep 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Los Angeles Chargers -3.5 · $100 returned $193

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 23 bookmakers compared
Winner
Raiders3.57+257Kalshi
Chargers1.37-270Kalshi
Total points
Over43.52.00+100Kalshi
Under43.51.96-104Kalshi

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders odds by bookmaker

23 books · best price in green
BookRaiders winChargers winChargers +6.5Over 43.5Under 43.5
Kalshi3.57+2571.37-2701.15-6712.00+1001.96-104
Polymarket3.64+2641.38-2642.02+1021.98-102
Bally Bet1.89-1121.92-109
BetAnySports1.91-1101.91-110
BetMGM1.91-1101.93-108
BetOnline1.93-1081.89-112
betPARX1.89-1121.92-109
BetRivers1.89-1121.92-109
BetUS1.91-1101.91-110
Bovada1.91-1101.91-110
Courtside
DraftKings1.91-1101.91-110
ESPN BET1.91-1101.91-110
Fanatics1.91-1101.91-110

Since the market opened: Chargers to win opened 1.28, best now 1.38; the over 43.5 opened 1.90, best now 2.02 (decimal, best book).

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 174 of 355 right (nfl alternate team total points overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 15
Kansas City Chiefs Over 17.5
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $136
Our call on this game: — members only · unlock tonight's call1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Los Angeles Chargers
-3.5
+ 3 more markets
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All 4 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,537+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles ChargersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Trey Pipkins III OTOut
  • Elijah Molden CBOut
  • Deane Leonard CBQuestionable
  • Ladd McConkey WRQuestionable
  • KeAndre Lambert-Smith WROut

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Aidan O'Connell QBOut
  • Darien Porter CBOut
  • Brock Bowers TEDoubtful
Availability updated Sep 19, 9:35PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders: The game is played indoor dome, so wind and rain won't touch the passing or kicking game, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueindoor dome
Surfacenatural grass
Wind / weatherIndoors — wind and precipitation are not a factor
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: indoor and domed games remove wind and rain from the equation, which tends to support passing totals and kicking accuracy versus an exposed outdoor game.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLas Vegas Raiders to winNo line posted

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadLos Angeles Chargers spreadNo line posted

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsChargers @ RaidersNo line posted

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders — recent results

Las Vegas Raiders have won 3 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Chargers have won 1 of their last 5.

Las Vegas Raiders — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W27–13MIAHome
L12–18SFHome
W22–20HOUAway
L14–27ARIHome
W14–12KCHome
Los Angeles Chargers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L14–26ARIHome
L18–20LARHome
L17–41SFHome
W27–7HOUAway
L3–16NEAway

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Las Vegas Raiders
PlayerStatus
Aidan O'Connell QBOUT
Darien Porter CBOUT
Brock Bowers TEDOUBTFUL
Los Angeles Chargers
PlayerStatus
Trey Pipkins III OTOUT
Elijah Molden CBOUT
Deane Leonard CBQUESTIONABLE
Ladd McConkey WRQUESTIONABLE
KeAndre Lambert-Smith WROUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
16 Sep 25 Total Points Under 46.5 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 25 Spread Los Angeles Chargers -3.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Chargers vs Raiders, or as Raiders vs Chargers. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 16 September 2025 at Las Vegas. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
Los Angeles Chargers 12–10 across the last 22 meetings · these games average 47.0 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
30 Nov 2025Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers31–14Los Angeles Chargers
15 Sep 2025Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders9–20Los Angeles Chargers
5 Jan 2025Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders20–34Los Angeles Chargers
8 Sep 2024Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers22–10Los Angeles Chargers
14 Dec 2023Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders63–21Las Vegas Raiders
1 Oct 2023Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers24–17Los Angeles Chargers
4 Dec 2022Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders27–20Las Vegas Raiders
11 Sep 2022Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers24–19Los Angeles Chargers
9 Jan 2022Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders35–32Las Vegas Raiders
4 Oct 2021Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers28–14Los Angeles Chargers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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