On Tuesday 4 August 2026, New York Liberty play Seattle Storm in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 200.5 Total Points, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 200.5 Total Points (-769)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As the New York Liberty host the Seattle Storm at Barclays Center, it's crucial to keep an eye on the tempo and defensive matchups that will shape this contest. Both teams have demonstrated a penchant for grinding out games, with the Liberty boasting a formidable defense that stifles opposing offenses. The Storm, while capable of explosive scoring, have faced struggles against tough defenses recently, leading to lower overall outputs. Our model sees this matchup ending with a combined score around 165.8 points, well below the 200.5 mark. With both teams likely to prioritize defense and control the pace, it seems prudent to lean towards the Under. The Liberty's home-court advantage might amplify their defensive prowess, further suppressing scoring opportunities for the Storm. Expect a tightly contested battle that favors strategy over scoring flare, making the Under a smart play in this matchup. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Seattle Storm +19.5 on the Line (-588)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
As the New York Liberty prepare to host the Seattle Storm at Barclays Center, this matchup has all the makings of a thrilling showdown. The Liberty, brimming with star power and explosive offense, are undoubtedly the favorites. However, the Storm, with their tenacious defense and ability to disrupt flow, are primed to keep things closer than expected. While New York's offensive pace may initially seem overwhelming, Seattle's disciplined approach can effectively counteract their scoring bursts. Our projections reveal a surprisingly tight contest, with a final margin favoring the Liberty by just over five points. Betting on Seattle at +19.5 offers a tantalizing opportunity, especially if they exploit the Liberty's defensive lapses. As the game unfolds, expect the Storm to challenge the Liberty's rhythm, making this alternate spread a savvy play for those looking to capitalize on potential underdog resilience. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
New York Liberty play Seattle Storm in the WNBA on Tuesday 4 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dominique Malonga Over 7.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at -143 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.00 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Liberty play Seattle Storm in the WNBA on Tuesday 4 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Flau'jae Johnson Over 11.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -244 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.10 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Awa Fam Over 5.5 Rebounds (-106)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As the New York Liberty prepare to host the Seattle Storm at Barclays Center, all eyes should be on Awa Fam's rebounding prowess. With a projected 7.4 boards, she's primed to exceed the 5.5 mark. The Storm's frontcourt has struggled to secure rebounds this season, particularly against physical players like Fam who thrive in the paint. Moreover, with the Liberty's up-tempo style, there will be plenty of opportunities for Fam to corral misses. She's shown an ability to position herself effectively, and with the energy of the home crowd behind her, we expect her to rise to the occasion. In a game where every possession counts, Fam's knack for crashing the boards could be pivotal. This matchup presents a perfect storm for her to shine, making the over on her rebounds a compelling play. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Seattle Storm. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Unlock all picks