New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks (Leonie Fiebich Key Factor): Our Expert Analysis

The New York Liberty have been doing well recently, winning 6 of their last 10 games, but they're facing a tough matchup against the Minnesota Lynx, who also have won 6 of their last 10. However, the Lynx have been scoring a lot less in their recent games. Our numbers suggest the total points for this game will be around 159, and that's a good bit under the line set at 179. One risk here is that both teams can surprise with their scoring, but overall, the odds lean toward a lower-scoring game. It was priced at -204 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Leonie Fiebich Over 3.5 Rebounds (+110)

Leonie Fiebich has been scoring well lately, averaging over 10 points per game at night. She's also been getting a decent number of assists, which shows she's involved in the game. The matchup against the Minnesota Lynx could be a great chance for her to grab more rebounds, especially since both teams are pretty evenly matched. With both the Liberty and Lynx winning around the same number of games recently, it's going to be a competitive game. Fiebich's chances of getting over 3.5 rebounds look promising, but she might face tough competition from the Lynx players. Keep an eye on her performance, as that could make all the difference here. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 21.5 Points and Assists (-110)

To win this bet, Napheesa Collier needs to score fewer than 21.5 points and assists combined tonight. She's been great at home, but her numbers suggest she might struggle to hit that mark against the New York Liberty. Collier averages about 10.6 rebounds and assists when playing at home, but her overall performance has been less impressive in recent games. The Minnesota Lynx have also faced a tough schedule lately, similar to the Liberty, which could make it harder for Collier to rack up points and assists. While both teams are coming off solid wins, the Liberty's defense might keep Collier in check more than expected. There's a solid chance she doesn't reach that total tonight, especially given how closely matched these teams are. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 11.5 Rebounds and Assists (-110)

New York Liberty play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA on Wednesday 30 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jonquel Jones Under 11.5 Rebounds and Assists. That is a player rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.