On Thursday 24 September 2026, New York Liberty play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Atlanta Dream +2.5 on the Line, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Atlanta Dream +2.5 on the Line (-112)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The Atlanta Dream are coming off a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've been scoring a lot, averaging nearly 96 points in their last 20 matchups. Even though the New York Liberty have had some good wins, they faced tough teams recently, which makes this matchup even more interesting. This game is pretty close, so the point spread of +2.5 for Atlanta feels like a solid pick. The Liberty might be at home, but both teams are in good form. The biggest risk here is how well both teams are scoring; if one goes cold, it could change everything. Overall, this should be a competitive game, and Atlanta has a good shot to keep it close. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Atlanta Dream to Win (+118)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
The Atlanta Dream come into this game on a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 matches and 5 of their last 6. They've faced some tough teams, with a schedule that ranks in the middle among all clubs, but they've handled it well. Meanwhile, the New York Liberty have also been solid, winning 7 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6, making this a close matchup. Both teams are performing well, but the Liberty have faced a slightly tougher schedule. The Dream have a little more rest and less travel, which might give them a slight advantage. The most concrete risk is that both teams are in great form, so it could easily go either way. Still, the numbers suggest the Dream have a good chance to come out on top here. It was priced at +118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 180.5 Total Points (-179)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
Both the New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream are playing well lately, but their recent scoring has been lower than usual. The Liberty have won 7 of their last 10 games, while the Dream have been strong too, winning 8 of their last 10. However, both teams are facing tough defenses, and our numbers suggest a combined total of around 163 points for this matchup. With both teams having played against tough opponents lately, there's a real chance this game stays under 180.5 total points, especially since both clubs have been more focused on defense. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Allisha Gray Over 22.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Allisha Gray has been on fire lately, scoring around 23 points when the sun is up. She's also great at helping out with assists, averaging 2.4 during day games. With her strong recent form, it feels right to bet on her to get over 22.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists against the New York Liberty. The Liberty have been tough competition, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They've faced some of the hardest teams in the league, so Gray will have her work cut out. If the game stays close, she could push past that number, but there's a chance the Liberty's strong defense could limit her chances. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
Breanna Stewart needs to grab fewer than 8 rebounds tonight against the Atlanta Dream for this bet to win. Stewart has been a powerhouse, but she's been averaging around 7 rebounds lately, which makes this number a tough one to hit. Both teams are on a winning streak, but the Liberty have faced much tougher opponents recently. That could make a difference in how the game flows. Stewart's strong offensive performance might keep her focused on scoring, taking her away from grabbing boards. Just remember, if the game turns into a rebounding battle, she could get pulled into that. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
For Jordin Canada to have fewer than 6.5 assists tonight, she needs to face some tough defense. Both the New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream have been winning a lot lately, but Canada's assist numbers can be inconsistent. She averages 6.2 assists at night, which is right around our target, and with the Liberty facing a team that's been playing well, she might not find as many chances to pass. The competition is fierce, and Canada will be up against a solid defense. With the Dream winning 15 of their last 20 games and scoring a lot, they might not need her to set up as many plays. It's a close matchup, so while this bet is risky, the odds look good for a lower assist count from her tonight. It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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