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Model picks & player props
Boston Celtics
VS
Phoenix Suns

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 1:06PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
6
Game Picks
8
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 180.5 (Total Points)
For Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns (NBA), model win probability 99.0%, fair odds 1.01, book price -417, model edge +19.3%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Points
Over
180.5
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix SunsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Celtics

  • Chris Cenac Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Dillon Mitchell FDay-to-day
  • Hugo Gonzalez GDay-to-day
  • Jayson Tatum FDay-to-day

Phoenix Suns

  • CJ Huntley FDay-to-day
  • Rasheer Fleming FDay-to-day
  • Koa Peat FDay-to-day
  • Khaman Maluach CDay-to-day
  • Mark Williams CDay-to-day
  • Jordan Goodwin GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 2:49AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Grayson Allen Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Collin Gillespie Phoenix Suns Steals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Royce O'Neale Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Collin Gillespie Phoenix Suns Rebounds 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Oso Ighodaro Phoenix Suns Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsBoston Celtics @ Phoenix SunsNo line posted

Phoenix Suns and Boston Celtics combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadPhoenix Suns spreadNo line posted

Phoenix Suns (season record) meet Boston Celtics; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylinePhoenix Suns to winNo line posted

Phoenix Suns (season record) host or visit Boston Celtics; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Phoenix Suns totalNo line posted

Phoenix Suns averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Boston Celtics; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Boston Celtics totalNo line posted

Boston Celtics averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Phoenix Suns; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Boston Celtics @ Phoenix Suns — model preview

<p>Winning bets for Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Oso Ighodaro. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics stats and odds.</p>

Oso Ighodaro (Phoenix Suns) Over 1.5 Points (-152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Alright, folks, let's talk Oso Ighodaro. Now, the Phoenix Suns are hosting the Boston Celtics, and I've got my eye on this rising star. He's been on a roll lately, knocking out point after point with the ease of a seasoned pro. With an expectation of 4.62 points, a bet on him to score over 1.5 seems like a no-brainer, doesn't it? Here's the clincher - he's hit this mark every single time in his last 10 games, and not just away, but at home, too. That's right, 6 out of 6 times at home, he's blown past that 1.5-point threshold. The Suns' home turf is his playground, and he's not one to disappoint the home crowd. With an implied probability of 60.2%, the numbers are overwhelmingly in our favour. So, let's grab this opportunity and back Ighodaro to

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Under 14.5 Points (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Grayson Allen steps onto the court for the Phoenix Suns tonight against the Boston Celtics, we're eyeing up his points total. Sure, his last five game average stands at 14.8 points, but dive a bit deeper and a different narrative unfolds. His average dips to a mere 8 points when playing at home, and against the Celtics? He's typically posting just 10.2 points, sinking even further to 7.7 when facing them on his home turf. The punchy defense of the Celtics seems to be Allen's kryptonite. Moreover, his under 14.5 points have hit 14 out of the last 20 times and impressively, 5 out of the last 6 home appearances. So, while the casual observer might see potential for over 14.5, the smart money's on Grayson staying under that mark tonight. After all, the numbers rarely lie.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns in the NBA. The model has generated 6 game picks and 8 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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