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Model picks & player props
Boston Celtics
VS
Philadelphia 76ers

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:10PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
7
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Boston Celtics 1.5 (Point Spread)
For Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers (NBA), model win probability 64.9%, fair odds 1.54, book price -110, model edge +12.5%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Boston Celtics
1.5
+ 6 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Boston CelticsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston CelticsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston CelticsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Celtics

  • Chris Cenac Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Dillon Mitchell FDay-to-day
  • Hugo Gonzalez GDay-to-day
  • Jayson Tatum FDay-to-day

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Johni Broome FDay-to-day
  • Labaron Philon Jr. GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 9:00PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsBoston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ersNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadPhiladelphia 76ers spreadNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers (season record) meet Boston Celtics; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylinePhiladelphia 76ers to winNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers (season record) host or visit Boston Celtics; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Philadelphia 76ers totalNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Boston Celtics; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Boston Celtics totalNo line posted

Boston Celtics averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Philadelphia 76ers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics : Philadelphia 76ers Under 126.5 Team Total Points (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Philadelphia 76ers Under 126.5' in the Team Total Points (Alternate) market is driven by the team's scoring record in recent games. Over their last five home matches, the 76ers have averaged 108.4 points, which is significantly lower than the 126.5 points set for this bet. This trend aligns with the model prediction of 114.03 points. Additionally, the 76ers' overall average score in their last five games, whether home or away, is 115.6, still considerably below the betting line. These statistics suggest that it is highly likely the 76ers will score under 126.5 points in their game against the Celtics, making this bet a statistically sound choice.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics : Boston Celtics 1.5 (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on the Boston Celtics with a 1.5 point spread is backed by their superior recent form, especially in head-to-head matches against the 76ers. The Celtics have won 4 out of their last 5 games compared to the 76ers 3-2 record. More crucially, the Celtics have a 3-1 record against the 76ers in their last 5 meetings, indicating a stronger performance in direct match-ups. Additionally, the Celtics have shown strong offensive capabilities in away games, scoring an average of 120.2 points in their last 5 away games, significantly higher than the 76ers' home score average of 108.4. Therefore, despite being the away team, the Celtics have a statistical edge that supports this bet.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics : Boston Celtics win (-102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for the Boston Celtics in this game lies within their superior recent performance and head-to-head record. Despite being the away team, the Celtics have a better recent overall record (4-1) than the 76ers (3-2). Importantly, the Celtics have been executing effectively against the 76ers, holding a 3-1 record in their last 5 games. Moreover, the Celtics have demonstrated stronger scoring ability on the road, averaging 120.2 points in their last 5 away games compared to the 76ers' 108.4 average at home. Therefore, even though the model predicts a 76ers win, the Celtics' recent form and strong head-to-head record make them a promising bet.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers in the NBA. The model has generated 7 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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