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Model picks & player props
Washington Nationals
VS
Colorado Rockies

Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 20, 10:33PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Tue 21 Jul 2026, 12:40AM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 12 (Total Runs)
For Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies (MLB), model win probability 68.4%, fair odds 1.46, book price -105, model edge +17.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Tue 21 Jul 2026, 12:40AM at Coors Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Runs
Over
17.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpread - 1st 5 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Under on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Under
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Nationals

  • Trevor Williams SPOut
  • Jake Irvin SPOut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Richard Lovelady RPOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • Brad Lord RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • DJ Herz SPOut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut
  • Josiah Gray SPOut

Probable pitcher

Foster Griffin SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Seth Halvorsen RPOut
  • Brenton Doyle CFOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Blas Castano RPOut
  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Ryan Feltner SP
Availability updated Jul 20, 12:17AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

2 markets live
Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Washington NationalsOver 11.5 -120+17.5% edge
72%over %
14.2proj. runs
L5 RF3.2L5 RA1.8Home L53-2vs Washington Nationals L54-1

Colorado Rockies total runs vs Washington Nationals is live with a model 72% read and a +17.5% model edge; proj. runs 14.2.

Run LineWashington Nationals run line-4 +288+1.3% edge
-0.9proj. margin
L5 RF2.4L5 RA2.0Away L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L52-3ATS6-9

Washington Nationals spread vs Colorado Rockies is live with a model 27% read and a +1.3% model edge; proj. margin -0.9.

MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.2L5 RA1.8Home L53-2vs Washington Nationals L54-1

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
2.6implied team total
L5 RF3.2L5 RA1.8Home L53-2vs Washington Nationals L54-1

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.2 runs/gm.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Tuesday 21 July 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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