Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Napheesa Collier Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

The Minnesota Lynx have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, the New York Liberty also have a solid record, winning 6 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6. They've faced tough teams, which shows they can handle pressure. Plus, they have a travel advantage, having less distance to cover compared to Minnesota. Betting on New York Liberty to cover the spread of 7 points makes sense here. The teams are closely matched, and our numbers suggest a final score difference of only about 2 points. The Lynx have been good, but the Liberty can put up a fight. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 29.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

The odds for Napheesa Collier to score under 29.5 points, rebounds, and assists look good at -106. She has been strong lately, but there's a solid chance she might not hit that mark tonight. Minnesota has been playing well, winning 7 of their last 10 games, and they're scoring a lot, averaging 91.3 points. However, the New York Liberty have faced one of the toughest schedules in the league, which means Collier could find it tougher to rack up those stats. One thing to keep in mind is that Collier averages 19.8 points and assists at night, but the competition tonight is fierce. With the Liberty's strong defense and their recent form, it might be hard for her to get over that 29.5 total. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Olivia Miles Under 6.5 Assists (-110)

The Minnesota Lynx are on a strong run, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 91.3 points each game this season. However, the New York Liberty have also been solid, winning 6 of their last 10 and facing some tough competition. This matchup could turn into a high-scoring affair, making it tricky for Olivia Miles to rack up assists. Miles has been averaging around 6 assists lately, and with the Lynx's scoring power, she might not need to pass as much. Plus, the pressure from the Liberty's defense could limit her chances. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 24.5 Points and Assists (-111)

Breanna Stewart is a star player, but we're looking at her to score under 24.5 points and assists against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx have been on a good run lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring a hefty 91.3 points per game. This means they will likely keep the pressure on Stewart, making it harder for her to rack up those numbers. While Stewart has performed well both at home and away, the tough competition the New York Liberty has faced this season suggests that she might not find it easy to hit the over on this total. The most concrete risk here is that both teams are playing well, so it could be close. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.