On Sunday 25 October 2026, Liverpool play Brighton and Hove Albion in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -556 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool prepares to host Brighton, the stage is set for a high-scoring affair. The Reds, despite a somewhat shaky home form lately, have averaged 1.4 goals conceded at Anfield, which suggests that their defense isn't as impenetrable as it used to be. Meanwhile, Brighton is no slouch in attack, capable of exploiting any defensive gaps. Liverpool's recent matches have seen them peppering the goal with an average of 14 shots per game, indicative of their persistent threat. With their expected goals (xG) figures hinting at untapped potential, it's clear they're primed for a breakout. Brighton, too, has shown they can find the back of the net, making this matchup ripe for at least a couple of goals. Given the attacking prowess on display, taking the over on 1.5 goals feels like a smart play in what promises to be an entertaining contest.
Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Liverpool Moneyline (+115)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool gears up to face Brighton at Anfield, recent form suggests a favorable outcome for the home side. While Liverpool has endured some ups and downs lately, their home record showcases resilience with three wins from their last five matches. They've consistently put pressure on opponents, averaging a solid 14 shots per game, which hints at their attacking intent. Brighton, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.8 goals against an increasingly organized Liverpool defense, which is conceding a mere 0.8 goals per game. The xG stats reveal Liverpool's attacking prowess is still lurking; they're expected to outperform their recent scoring. With Anfield's electric atmosphere behind them and Brighton's recent woes away, backing Liverpool to secure the victory feels like a smart play. They have the knack for turning home matches into a fortress, and this encounter should be no different.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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