On Sunday 27 September 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +4.5 on the Line, priced at -125 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Indiana Fever +4.5 on the Line (-125)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Indiana Fever are scoring an impressive 96.7 points a game and have won 7 of their last 10. They also have a solid recent record, winning 4 of their last 6. The Las Vegas Aces are strong too, winning 8 of their last 10 and 6 in a row, but the teams are pretty close overall. With our numbers treating this matchup like a coin flip, taking the Fever with a +4.5 spread feels like a good option. Just keep in mind, the Aces have home court advantage, which could play a role. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Las Vegas Aces to Win (-154)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Las Vegas Aces need to keep their winning streak going against the Indiana Fever tonight. The Aces have been on fire, winning their last six games and putting up a solid average of 91.1 points per game this season. They've also won eight of their last ten, showing they know how to keep the momentum going. The Fever are strong as well, winning seven of their last ten and scoring 96.7 points per game, so it won't be an easy matchup. However, the Aces are at home, and they have the advantage of better recent form. One concrete risk is that the teams are quite close in overall wins this season, but the Aces seem likely to come out on top tonight. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 191.5 Total Points (-263)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Las Vegas Aces are on a fantastic run, winning six straight games and scoring an impressive average of 91.1 points. However, the Indiana Fever are also doing well, with a solid average of 96.7 points over their last few games. Despite both teams' scoring abilities, our numbers suggest a combined total of about 167 points, which is quite a bit lower than the line. The biggest risk is how closely matched these teams are in terms of recent wins. Still, going with the Under 191.5 seems like a smart choice given the trend. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A'ja Wilson Under 27.5 Points (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

A'ja Wilson has been a big part of the Las Vegas Aces' success, scoring a lot as they've won 8 of their last 10 games. She's been on fire lately, but she may face a tough challenge against the Indiana Fever, who have also been scoring well. The Fever have won 7 of their last 10, so it could be a close one. Right now, we think A'ja Wilson will score under 27.5 points in this game. The numbers show she may struggle to reach that mark, especially with the Fever's strong defense. While she can definitely light it up, the match-up suggests it could be a lower-scoring night for her. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Caitlin Clark Under 27.5 Points and Rebounds (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Caitlin Clark needs to score fewer than 27.5 points and rebounds combined for this bet to work tonight. The Las Vegas Aces have been on fire, winning six in a row, while the Indiana Fever have also been strong lately, winning four of their last six. However, Clark's contributions might be limited since the Aces play tough defense and are known for shutting down key players. While Clark is talented, the match-up could present challenges for her to hit those high numbers. With the Aces allowing fewer points and rebounds in recent games, this could make it tough for her to reach 28 total. It's a close matchup, and that's the biggest risk. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sophie Cunningham Under 6.5 Points (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Sophie Cunningham has been solid recently, but the Las Vegas Aces are a tough team. They've won their last six games and are scoring a lot, but they also play strong defense. The Aces are known for making it hard for opponents to get easy shots, so Cunningham may find it challenging to reach over 6.5 points. The Indiana Fever are scoring well too, but with the Aces' recent form and solid defensive play, there's a good chance Cunningham might not hit that mark. The closest matchup detail is that the Aces have been rolling lately, winning eight of their last ten games. Keep in mind that Cunningham could easily surprise, but the odds suggest this is a smart bet. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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