On Wednesday 23 September 2026, Indiana Fever play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +1.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Indiana Fever +1.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing

The Indiana Fever need to keep up their strong scoring to cover the point spread against the Minnesota Lynx. They've been on a roll lately, winning seven of their last ten games and scoring an impressive average of 97 points per game this season. The Fever have shown they can compete well, especially at home. The Lynx are also doing well, winning seven of their last ten and averaging 91.3 points per game. The matchup is really close, with our numbers showing it could go either way. The biggest risk is how evenly matched they are, as the teams have very similar winning records this season. Still, the Fever have the home advantage and are hitting their stride. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 197.5 Total Points (-278)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx both have solid recent records, winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, both teams are scoring lower than usual, with the Fever hitting around 97 points and the Lynx at about 91 points per game. The combined total for this matchup is likely to be under 197.5 points, which our numbers strongly suggest. One risk is that both teams can score well when they're hot, but given their recent form, this total seems too high. It was priced at -278 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Natasha Howard Over 6.5 Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Natasha Howard has been on a scoring tear with the Indiana Fever, who are winning a lot lately, taking 8 of their last 10 games. She's been grabbing rebounds too, and Indiana is scoring a ton, which usually means more chances for her to collect boards. The Lynx have a solid record as well, winning 7 of their last 10 games, so this matchup should be competitive. The biggest risk is that both teams are close in form, making it tricky for Howard to hit that over. Still, it feels like a good shot. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kelsey Mitchell Under 28.5 Points and Assists (-109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Kelsey Mitchell has been scoring and assisting well lately, but this matchup against the Minnesota Lynx could be tricky. The Fever have been on a good run, winning 7 of their last 10 games and putting up impressive points, but the Lynx are just as strong, winning 7 of their last 10 too. With both teams playing well, this could make it tough for Mitchell to rack up points and assists. The Lynx's defense is known for being solid, and they might really challenge her. Even though Mitchell has been good, there's a real chance she could struggle to hit that 28.5 mark in points and assists tonight. With the way both teams play, this bet looks promising, but it's important to keep in mind how close the competition is. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Napheesa Collier has been a key player for the Minnesota Lynx, but her recent shooting from beyond the arc has not been great. In fact, she's been struggling with her three-point shots lately, and the Fever's defense has been tough on long-range shooters. Both teams are in good form, with each winning 7 of their last 10 games, but Collier might find it hard to get open looks. Betting on her to make under 1.5 three-pointers seems wise given her current rhythm and how the Fever have been defending. It's important to note that the matchup is close, so anything could happen. With the odds at -108, this bet feels like a solid choice. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Indiana Fever v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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