On Tuesday 22 September 2026, Washington Mystics play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +13 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Connecticut Sun +13 on the Line (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Washington Mystics have been on a roll, winning four of their last six games and scoring an impressive 83.5 points on average this season. In contrast, the Connecticut Sun have struggled lately, winning just one of their last six games and averaging 78.5 points. This matchup looks pretty close, though, and the Mystics could win by about 10.5 points according to our numbers. Betting on the Sun to keep it within 13 points gives them some breathing room, but their recent form makes it a bit risky. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 160.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The bet needs the total points scored by the Washington Mystics and the Connecticut Sun to go over 160.5. The Mystics are on a roll, winning 6 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 83.5 points per game. Meanwhile, the Sun are struggling, winning only 2 of their last 10 and scoring just 78.5 points per game. This matchup feels promising since the Mystics are likely to push the pace, but be aware that the Sun might keep it closer than expected since both teams are performing at different levels. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Georgia Amoore has been on a nice scoring run lately, and the Washington Mystics are putting up impressive numbers, averaging over 83 points a game. With the Connecticut Sun struggling to find their rhythm, winning only 2 of their last 10 games and scoring around 77 points, it makes sense to think Georgia can score over 7.5 points. However, one risk is that both teams are close in talent, so it might not go as planned. But with the Mystics in better form, this bet feels worth a shot. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kiki Iriafen Under 9.5 Rebounds (-108)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Kiki Iriafen has been playing well lately, but the Washington Mystics are on a roll, winning 6 of their last 10 games and scoring around 83.5 points per game. In contrast, the Connecticut Sun have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 and averaging 77.4 points per game. With the Mystics in strong form, Kiki may find it tough to grab a lot of rebounds. Betting on Kiki to get under 9.5 rebounds seems promising. The Mystics' recent success means they may be taking more shots, which could limit Kiki's chances to collect boards. The biggest risk here is how close her rebounding numbers have been in the past, making this pick a little tricky. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sonia Citron Under 20.5 Points and Assists (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
For Sonia Citron to score under 20.5 points and assists tonight, she needs to have a quieter game. The Washington Mystics are playing well, winning 4 of their last 6 games and scoring a solid 83.5 points each game. In contrast, the Connecticut Sun has struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 and averaging just 77.4 points, which could limit Citron's chances to rack up stats. Citron might face a tough challenge since the Mystics are doing well in defense and rebounding. They've been blocking more shots than usual, which can disrupt scoring opportunities. With Connecticut's recent form, there's a good chance this bet will hit, but the risk is that Citron could have an unexpected breakout game, making it a close call. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article