On Wednesday 23 September 2026, Indiana Fever play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +1.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Indiana Fever +1.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Indiana Fever need to keep up their strong scoring to cover the point spread against the Minnesota Lynx. They've been on a roll lately, winning seven of their last ten games and scoring an impressive average of 97 points per game this season. The Fever have shown they can compete well, especially at home. The Lynx are also doing well, winning seven of their last ten and averaging 91.3 points per game. The matchup is really close, with our numbers showing it could go either way. The biggest risk is how evenly matched they are, as the teams have very similar winning records this season. Still, the Fever have the home advantage and are hitting their stride. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 199.5 Total Points (-303)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx both play solid basketball, but their recent scoring suggests a lower total here. Indiana has been scoring 97 points a game lately, while Minnesota is at 91.3 points. Even with those numbers, our model thinks the combined score will be around 171.6, which is quite a bit lower than the line set at 199.5 points. The Fever's recent form has been impressive, winning 7 of their last 10, but the Lynx are just as strong. The main risk is how close these teams are in winning percentages, so it could be a tighter game than expected. It was priced at -303 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 26.5 Points and Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Napheesa Collier has been playing well, but both teams are scoring a lot lately, making it tough to predict individual performances. The Indiana Fever have been strong, winning 7 out of their last 10 games and putting up a huge 97 points a game. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Lynx are also on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 and scoring 91 points a game. With Collier's recent stats showing lower numbers in rebounds and blocks, there's a good chance she might not hit over 26.5 points and rebounds combined. The real risk is how close these teams are in talent and scoring ability, which can lead to tight games where individual stats can struggle. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kelsey Mitchell Under 28.5 Points and Assists (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Kelsey Mitchell has been scoring and assisting well lately, but this matchup against the Minnesota Lynx could be tricky. The Fever have been on a good run, winning 7 of their last 10 games and putting up impressive points, but the Lynx are just as strong, winning 7 of their last 10 too. With both teams playing well, this could make it tough for Mitchell to rack up points and assists. The Lynx's defense is known for being solid, and they might really challenge her. Even though Mitchell has been good, there's a real chance she could struggle to hit that 28.5 mark in points and assists tonight. With the way both teams play, this bet looks promising, but it's important to keep in mind how close the competition is. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Caitlin Clark Under 30.5 Points and Assists (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Caitlin Clark has been playing well lately, but we think her points and assists might fall short in this game. The Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx have both been winning a lot, and both teams score a good number of points. However, the Fever have been strong defensively, which could make it tough for Clark to rack up those stats. The matchup is pretty close, so there's a chance she could surprise us. But with the Fever's solid defense and the way both teams have been performing, betting on Clark to score under 30.5 points and assists seems like a smart call. Just keep in mind, if she has a great night, it could easily go the other way. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Indiana Fever v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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