New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks (Angel Reese Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

The Atlanta Dream have been on a hot streak, winning 8 out of their last 10 games, including 5 of their last 6. They're playing against the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, who also have a solid record but faced tougher opponents recently. The Liberty's schedule has been one of the hardest in the league, which could make this matchup more challenging for them. While both teams are performing well, the Dream might have a slight advantage here. They have been playing more consistently against less challenging teams. A key factor to watch is how the Dream's players handle this away game, as they've traveled a bit further compared to the Liberty. Still, the Dream's current form gives them a good chance to come out on top. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 184.5 Total Points (-233)

Both the New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream are in great form, winning 7 of their last 10 and 8 of their last 10 games, respectively. However, the Liberty have faced tougher opponents lately, which may help keep the score down. Our numbers suggest the total points will be around 162.5, so betting on under 184.5 seems smart. A solid risk is that both teams have been scoring well, so they might surprise us with a high-scoring game. Still, the numbers lean heavily toward a lower total here. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Angel Reese Over 15.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)

Angel Reese needs to grab enough rebounds and dish out assists to go over 15.5 tonight. She's been solid at night, scoring almost 22 points and assists combined in her recent games. The Liberty have faced tough opponents, but they are still winning a good number of their matches. The Dream have been on a roll too, winning many games lately. However, the close competition means this bet could easily go either way. The main risk is that both teams are strong, making it tough for Reese to hit that number. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 16.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Jonquel Jones has been playing well, but this matchup against the Atlanta Dream poses some challenges. Both teams are on a hot streak, with Atlanta winning 8 of their last 10 games. While Jones has been impactful, the Dream's defense could limit her scoring and assists. Our numbers suggest there's a good chance that Jones will finish with under 16.5 points and assists in this game. The stats show she might not get the typical number of assists, and her recent performance hasn't been as high as expected. The toughest part is that both teams are playing well, so it could go either way. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

DeWanna Bonner Over 7.5 Points (+112)

DeWanna Bonner has been pretty solid lately, especially during the day, where she scores a bit more. The New York Liberty are facing the Atlanta Dream at Barclays Center, and both teams have been winning a lot recently, with the Dream taking 8 of their last 10 games. Bonner's got a good shot to rack up over 7.5 points since she averages more during daylight games. However, it's important to keep in mind that this matchup is pretty tight, and both teams have challenging schedules. The Liberty have played tough opponents, but they still tend to score well at home. Bonner's recent form suggests she will contribute significantly, but there is always a chance she could have an off day. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.