On Wednesday 23 September 2026, Indiana Fever play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +1 on the Line, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Indiana Fever +1 on the Line (-115)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
For Indiana Fever to cover the point spread, they need to keep up their solid scoring and strong play at home. They've been impressive lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an average of 97 points. They also have the home-court advantage, which can give them a boost against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx are also in good form, winning 7 of their last 10, but they have a longer travel distance to deal with. This matchup is really tight, with the teams being very close in overall performance. One risk is that the Lynx have a slightly better overall win rate, making it a tough challenge for the Fever. Still, their recent momentum makes them a solid pick to keep it close or even win. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 197.5 Total Points (-278)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx both have solid recent records, winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, both teams are scoring lower than usual, with the Fever hitting around 97 points and the Lynx at about 91 points per game. The combined total for this matchup is likely to be under 197.5 points, which our numbers strongly suggest. One risk is that both teams can score well when they're hot, but given their recent form, this total seems too high. It was priced at -278 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kelsey Mitchell Under 28.5 Points and Assists (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Kelsey Mitchell has been scoring and assisting well lately, but this matchup against the Minnesota Lynx could be tricky. The Fever have been on a good run, winning 7 of their last 10 games and putting up impressive points, but the Lynx are just as strong, winning 7 of their last 10 too. With both teams playing well, this could make it tough for Mitchell to rack up points and assists. The Lynx's defense is known for being solid, and they might really challenge her. Even though Mitchell has been good, there's a real chance she could struggle to hit that 28.5 mark in points and assists tonight. With the way both teams play, this bet looks promising, but it's important to keep in mind how close the competition is. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Napheesa Collier Under 29.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-108)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Napheesa Collier has been solid lately, but she faces a tough matchup against the Indiana Fever. While both teams are playing well, with each having won 7 of their last 10 games, the Fever have been scoring at a high rate, averaging 97 points per game. Collier's recent stats show that she's underperformed in steals and three-point shots compared to her usual numbers, which could limit her overall impact. Betting on Collier to get under 29.5 points, rebounds, and assists feels like a smart move. The Fever's strong defense could make it hard for her to rack up those stats. The main risk here is how tightly these two teams match up, but given the Fever's recent form, this bet has a good chance of hitting. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Caitlin Clark Under 30.5 Points and Assists (-114)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Caitlin Clark has been playing well lately, but we think her points and assists might fall short in this game. The Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx have both been winning a lot, and both teams score a good number of points. However, the Fever have been strong defensively, which could make it tough for Clark to rack up those stats. The matchup is pretty close, so there's a chance she could surprise us. But with the Fever's solid defense and the way both teams have been performing, betting on Clark to score under 30.5 points and assists seems like a smart call. Just keep in mind, if she has a great night, it could easily go the other way. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Indiana Fever v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article