On Tuesday 22 September 2026, Washington Mystics play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 159.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 159.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
For this bet to work, Washington Mystics and Connecticut Sun need to score more than 159.5 points tonight. The Mystics have been strong lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 83.5 points per game. On the other hand, the Sun have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 and scoring 78.5 points per game. The Mystics are likely to carry the scoring load, but the Sun's recent form is a real worry since they might not contribute enough points. Still, with the Mystics rolling, this game could see a good number of total points. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Connecticut Sun +13.5 on the Line (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Washington Mystics have been on a roll, winning 6 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 83.5 points a game. In contrast, the Connecticut Sun have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 and averaging just 78.5 points. Despite this, the point spread of 13.5 is quite generous, especially since the Mystics' expected final margin is only around 10.5 points. Connecticut's recent form makes them a risky pick, but they have the potential to keep the game closer than expected. With the Mystics at home, they might have the upper hand, but the Sun can surprise on their good days. Betting on Connecticut to cover the spread feels like it could pay off, but nothing is guaranteed. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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