On Friday 16 October 2026, Hull City play Brentford in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Hull City Draw No Bet, priced at +245 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Hull City prepares to host Brentford, recent form shines a light on why backing Hull with a Draw No Bet is enticing. Hull has been solid at home, scoring an average of 1 goal while conceding just 0.4 in their last five matches at the MKM Stadium. Their defensive setup has made it tough for opponents to break through, reflected in their low xG against at home. Conversely, Brentford is struggling on the road, with only one win in their last five away outings, and they’ve been leaking goals, averaging 1.8 conceded. Hull's recent upward trend at home, combined with Brentford's defensive frailties, suggests that Hull has the edge to secure a favorable result. With the safety net of the Draw No Bet, this wager feels like a smart play in what could be a tightly contested matchup.
Hull City vs Brentford: Hull City +1.5 Goal Handicap (-270)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Hull City prepares to host Brentford, recent trends suggest they might just turn the tide in this crucial matchup. Hull's home form has shown a flicker of resilience, especially with a 2-3-0 record in their last five home games. Meanwhile, Brentford's away struggles are hard to ignore, managing just one draw in their last five, with a dismal average of 1.2 goals scored and a concerning 1.8 goals conceded per game. Hull has tightened up defensively at home, conceding only 0.4 goals in their last five, and their expected goals (xG) metrics indicate they’ve been creating chances, averaging 8.6 shots per game. With Brentford's away defense leaking goals and their own inability to find the net, betting on Hull City to cover a 1.5 handicap seems promising. They’re primed for a breakout performance, especially in front of their home crowd.
That is how our model reads Hull City v Brentford. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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