On Saturday 17 October 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 8.5 Total Corners, priced at -161 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Nottingham Forest gears up to host Arsenal, the corner count is poised for a surge. Forest's recent home games have seen them averaging 16 total shots, which suggests that they are pushing forward, creating plenty of opportunities to earn corners. Arsenal, on the other hand, has been relentless on the road, averaging over 12 shots per game in their last five outings, which bodes well for corner creation. With both teams involved in intense battles and Forest's struggle to find their footing at home—having only managed 0.4 goals per game in their last five at the City Ground—the likelihood of them conceding corners increases. Arsenal's attacking prowess against a defensive-minded Forest will likely lead to a flurry of corner kicks. With the line set at 8.5, the stage is set for a corner-filled clash, making the over a compelling choice.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Nottingham Forest +0.75 Goal Handicap (-105)
Odds correct at time of publishing
When Nottingham Forest hosts Arsenal, the contrasting form of both teams is striking. Forest has struggled at home, posting just one win in their last five matches, but their defensive resilience should not be overlooked. They’ve kept opponents to an average of only 0.8 goals at home, which could be crucial against an Arsenal side that, while potent, doesn’t always blitz teams away from home. Arsenal’s strong away record (four wins in five) masks a tendency to underperform against teams that dig in defensively. With Forest’s average xG at home lingering below one, they might not score much, but they’re also adept at stifling the opposition’s attack. This handicap line gives Forest a cushion, making a bet on them more appealing, especially if they can snag a draw or a narrow loss while keeping Arsenal's offense in check. The home crowd could spark a surprise here!
That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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