Dallas Wings vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks (Jessica Shepard Key Factor): Our Expert Analysis

The odds for Dallas Wings to win are pretty solid at -286, and our numbers really like them as a strong favorite. They're showing a good scoring form lately and have a solid net difference that suggests they can outplay the Sparks. Plus, the Sparks have had a lot more travel to deal with, which can wear them down. One risk is that the teams are closer in winning percentages than you might think, so it's not a guaranteed win. But overall, the Wings are in better shape right now and should have the advantage playing at home. It's a good spot for Dallas to take care of business against Los Angeles. It was priced at -286 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jessica Shepard Under 4.5 Assists (+109)

Jessica Shepard has been playing well lately, but her assists have been low. She's averaging just under 2 assists in recent games, showing she isn't dishing out many passes. With the Dallas Wings facing the Los Angeles Sparks, this matchup could be tough for her to rack up assists. The Sparks are known for their solid defense, which could limit Shepard's chances to set up her teammates. While she is a talented player, betting on her getting more than 4 assists seems risky. The Sparks might make it hard for her to find open looks. It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Paige Bueckers Under 25.5 Points and Rebounds (-109)

Paige Bueckers has been on fire with her scoring lately, averaging over 23 points in recent games. However, she's also been grabbing fewer rebounds than usual, with just one offensive board per game lately. This could mean she won't hit the combined total of 25.5 points and rebounds against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Sparks are a strong team, and Bueckers might face tougher defense that could limit her chances. While she's been scoring well, the risk is that her rebounding numbers just aren't supporting the big totals. With the way things are trending, betting on her to go under 25.5 combined points and rebounds seems like a solid call. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Arike Ogunbowale Over 3.5 Assists (+112)

Arike Ogunbowale has been on fire lately, averaging almost 19 points in her last few games. She's also making more shots than usual, with about six field goals per game, which shows she's involved in the offense. With the Dallas Wings playing at home, she should have the crowd behind her, adding to her momentum. The bet on Arike getting over 3.5 assists seems promising. She's been taking more chances and getting her teammates involved, but the Sparks are a tough team, and they can play good defense. That's the main risk here. Still, with the way she's playing, this could be a great chance to score big on this bet. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Los Angeles Sparks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.