Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Kayla McBride Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

The Minnesota Lynx have been solid lately, but the New York Liberty brings some tough competition. We're betting on the total points to be under 183.5. Our numbers suggest that the combined score will be around 162.9, which is a fair bit lower than what we're betting on. The Liberty and Lynx both focus on defense, and recent games show they've been limiting their opponents' scoring. The most concrete risk here is that both teams are quite close in win percentage, which could lead to a surprising offensive burst. It was priced at -217 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kayla McBride Under 2.5 Rebounds (+111)

For this game, Kayla McBride needs to grab fewer than three rebounds against the New York Liberty. She has been averaging about two rebounds recently, which is right around what we need. Plus, the Liberty are strong on the boards, making it tougher for her to get those extra chances. The risk is that this matchup is close, and McBride could surprise us if she gets hot. However, she has been focusing on her scoring lately, taking more shots and making more free throws than usual. With her recent numbers, it makes sense to think she might not hit those three rebounds tonight. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sabrina Ionescu Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-109)

The odds for Sabrina Ionescu to score under 24.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists look appealing. Our numbers show that she has been a bit off her usual game lately, averaging fewer offensive rebounds and three-pointers than normal. Her recent performance suggests she might struggle to hit that mark against a strong Lynx defense. There's a real chance this could go either way since both teams are competitive and Ionescu's stats are closer to the lower end of her range. If she gets into foul trouble or the Lynx manage to limit her chances, it could be tough for her to reach 25 combined. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 22.5 Points and Assists (-112)

Breanna Stewart needs to score points and give assists, but we're betting she will keep it under 22.5 tonight against the Minnesota Lynx. Lately, she has been making fewer field goals than usual, averaging about six instead of a typical six and a half. Plus, her team tends to struggle with turnovers, which could limit her chances to rack up assists. The Lynx play solid defense, which can make it tough for Stewart to shine. Though she's had some success against them, the numbers suggest she might not hit her usual mark tonight. Keep an eye on the game, as it could go either way. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.