On Friday 18 September 2026, Seattle Storm play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Seattle Storm +8.5 on the Line, priced at +106 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Seattle Storm +8.5 on the Line (+106)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
The Seattle Storm are up against the Las Vegas Aces, and the Storm have been pretty competitive lately. They have a solid chance to keep this game close, especially since our numbers suggest they could lose by just a few points. The Aces may have a slight advantage, but the Storm are at home and should feel the support from their fans. The biggest risk here is that the Aces have a better overall record, but taking Seattle with an 8.5-point cushion looks promising. It was priced at +106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.60 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 181.5 Total Points (-263)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Seattle Storm and Las Vegas Aces are set to clash at Climate Pledge Arena, and it looks like a lower-scoring game is on the cards. Our numbers suggest a combined total of around 156.9 points, which is significantly less than the 181.5 points offered. Both teams have been struggling offensively lately, and the Storm's recent form hasn't helped their scoring either. The Aces are traveling a bit further, which could add to their fatigue. Keep in mind, though, that if either team finds its groove, things could change quickly. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jackie Young Under 25.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jackie Young from the Las Vegas Aces is facing off against the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena. She's been struggling a bit lately, averaging just under four rebounds and three points in her last few games. That's not quite what we'd expect from her, especially since she typically brings in a higher number of both rebounds and points. With our numbers showing this matchup is close to a coin flip, it's a risky bet. The Storm can be tough on defense, and Young's recent performance might not be enough to push her over 25.5 combined points and rebounds. It's definitely worth considering, but just know that she might not hit those numbers based on her last few games. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dominique Malonga Under 27.5 Points and Rebounds (-109)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Dominique Malonga is stepping onto the court at Climate Pledge Arena, where the Seattle Storm will face off against the Las Vegas Aces. Recently, Malonga's scoring and rebounding have not been at their best, with her average points and rebounds coming in lower than usual. With the Aces being a tough opponent, it could be challenging for her to rack up the numbers needed for this bet. While our numbers show she has a good chance, there's still a solid risk that the Aces could limit her opportunities. If she continues to struggle with scoring and rebounding, hitting the over may be tough. So, taking the under on 27.5 points and rebounds makes sense in this matchup. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chelsea Gray Under 21.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Tonight, Chelsea Gray needs to score, grab rebounds, and dish out assists, but we're betting she'll stay under 21.5 combined. The Seattle Storm will try to limit her chances, and they've been good at defending against players like her. Our numbers show she's been averaging fewer points and assists recently, and she's also been making less impact on the boards compared to usual. The Aces are also coming off a tough schedule, which might mean they're a bit worn out. With Chelsea's recent performances and the Storm's solid defense, this bet has a good chance to hit. The biggest risk is how close her stats can sometimes be to that line, but overall, it looks promising for keeping her under 21.5 tonight. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Seattle Storm v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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