On Friday 18 September 2026, Dallas Wings play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 176.5 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 176.5 Total Points (-108)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Dallas Wings and Los Angeles Sparks are both having a tough time scoring lately. The combined total we expect for this game is around 170 points, which is well below the line set for total points. With the Wings having the better scoring form and a solid rebounding game, they could keep the Sparks from racking up points. One thing to watch out for is how close both teams are in terms of overall performance, with only a slight difference in winning percentage. The Sparks also have a longer travel distance, which might affect their energy. Given these factors, betting on the total points to stay under 176.5 seems like a smart pick here. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jessica Shepard Under 4.5 Assists (+110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Jessica Shepard has been playing well lately, but her assists have been low. She's averaging just under 2 assists in recent games, showing she isn't dishing out many passes. With the Dallas Wings facing the Los Angeles Sparks, this matchup could be tough for her to rack up assists. The Sparks are known for their solid defense, which could limit Shepard's chances to set up her teammates. While she is a talented player, betting on her getting more than 4 assists seems risky. The Sparks might make it hard for her to find open looks. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Paige Bueckers Under 27.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Paige Bueckers has been putting up some impressive numbers lately, scoring around 23 points per game and making more three-point shots than usual. However, she has struggled a bit with assists, averaging less than two in recent games. That's a key reason why betting on her to score under 27.5 combined points and assists seems smart right now. The Dallas Wings will be facing the Los Angeles Sparks, and both teams are known for their strong defenses. With Bueckers playing against a tough matchup, there's a solid chance she won't hit that 27.5 mark. Keep in mind, she might still have a great game, but the matchup could prevent her from reaching those numbers. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Awak Kuier Over 6.5 Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Awak Kuier has been on fire lately, pulling down an impressive average of 8 rebounds in her last five games, which is way above the usual mark. She's really stepping up her game with strong defensive skills, even averaging about 6.4 defensive rebounds recently. With the Dallas Wings facing the Los Angeles Sparks, she should have plenty of chances to grab boards, especially if the Sparks miss a lot of shots. The bet is for Awak Kuier to get over 6.5 rebounds. While she's been performing well, the Sparks can be tough on the boards, so it's not a guaranteed win. Still, with how hard she's been working, this pick has a good chance to hit. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Los Angeles Sparks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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