On Thursday 1 October 2026, Dallas Wings play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +4 on the Line, priced at -105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Dallas Wings +4 on the Line (-105)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings are on fire, winning 5 of their last 6 games and averaging a strong 89.4 points. They've been playing solid basketball lately, and even though the Golden State Valkyries have also won 5 of their last 6, the Wings are at home and have a good chance to keep it close. The Valkyries have faced tougher opponents, which could make things harder for them here. With our numbers showing a good chance for Dallas to stay within 4 points, this bet feels promising. Just remember, the teams are pretty evenly matched, so it could go either way. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 151.5 Total Points (-175)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Both the Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries are on hot streaks, winning 5 of their last 6 games each. The Wings are scoring a lot, averaging nearly 90 points a game this season. With both teams playing well, this matchup should see plenty of points. Our numbers predict a combined total around 167, which is above the line we're betting on. The biggest risk here is that both teams have faced tough opponents lately, which could impact their scoring. Still, I think the Over 151.5 has a good chance to hit. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Awak Kuier Over 7.5 Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Awak Kuier has been on fire lately, and the Dallas Wings are scoring an impressive 89.4 points a game this season. They've won 5 of their last 6 games, showing strong form. The Golden State Valkyries have also been doing well, but they've faced tougher opponents overall. With both teams playing at a high pace, betting on Kuier to score over 7.5 points looks promising. Just remember, if she doesn't get enough shots, it could be a close call. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Kayla Thornton has been struggling a bit with her rebounding lately, which makes this bet interesting. She has a low average of just 4.5 points and assists at night, and when the game is during the day, her numbers are much better. Since this matchup is at night, we might not see her grab many boards. Both the Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries have been playing well recently, winning five of their last six games. However, with Thornton's night performance being less impressive, there's a good chance she could fall short of 4.5 rebounds. The risk here is that it's a close matchup, and Thornton could surprise us. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Arike Ogunbowale Over 20.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings have been scoring a lot lately, averaging nearly 90 points a game, and they're on a roll with 7 wins in their last 10 games. Arike Ogunbowale has been a key player for them, especially at night, where she averages over 20 combined points and assists. With Dallas in good form and Golden State facing a tougher schedule than most, I think Ogunbowale can hit over 20.5 for points, rebounds, and assists. The main risk is that both teams are playing well, making this matchup pretty even. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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