On Thursday 22 October 2026, Como play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 3.5 Total Goals, priced at -135 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Como prepares to host Sassuolo, the stage is set for a match that could see fewer fireworks than expected. Recent form shows Como averaging just 1.2 goals at home, while their defense has limited opponents to 1 goal on average in the same span. Sassuolo, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, averaging only 1.2 goals while conceding 2.2. Both teams have been underwhelming in terms of creating clear-cut chances, reflected in their lack of expected goals (xG) in recent matches. With Como’s last five home games yielding a modest total of goals, and Sassuolo’s inability to capitalize on their chances, betting on under 3.5 total goals seems a savvy choice. Given the teams' recent trends and their head-to-head history, it’s hard to envision a high-scoring affair here.
Como vs Sassuolo: Over 7.5 Total Corners (-385)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Como prepares to host Sassuolo, expect a flurry of corner kicks, making the 'Over 7.5' corners bet enticing. Como's recent home games showcase their attacking intent, averaging a staggering 22 shots and 7.2 shots on target in their last five outings. This offensive pressure not only leads to goals but also corners, with an average of 1.8 per match. Sassuolo, despite struggling away, still generates a healthy 15.4 shots per game, hinting at their ability to create chances and earn corners, even on the road. With both teams capable of pushing forward, and Como's home advantage, it's reasonable to anticipate a high corner count. Aiming for 'Over 7.5' corners feels like a smart move in this exciting Serie A clash.
That is how our model reads Como v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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