On Monday 28 September 2026, Como play AS Roma in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at +114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Como vs AS Roma: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Como prepares to host AS Roma, a compelling narrative unfolds that points towards a low-scoring affair. Over their last five matches, Como’s home scoring average stands at a modest 2.2 goals, while their opponents have managed just 1 goal per game. This aligns perfectly with their defensive resilience, conceding an average of just 1.2 goals. When you dig into the expected goals (xG), it’s surprising to see Como’s attack generating little, while they’ve kept the opposition’s xG in check as well. This clash has historically leaned towards tighter contests, with Como holding a recent record of 2-0-2 against Roma. Given these trends and the absence of offensive fireworks from both sides, betting on under 2.5 total goals seems a wise play. Expect a tactical battle with defenses on top, rather than a goal-fest.

Como vs AS Roma: Both Teams To Score: No (+142)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Como gears up to host AS Roma, the recent form of both teams suggests a likely lack of goals from both sides. Como has been solid at home with a 3-1-1 record in their last five outings, averaging 2.2 goals scored per game, but they’ve also kept opponents to just 1 goal on average. Meanwhile, Roma, while a formidable opponent, has struggled to find the net in away fixtures, contributing to an overall trend of fewer goals. Interestingly, Como's last five matchups against Roma have seen them secure two wins without conceding, highlighting a defensive resilience. The expected goals (xG) figures emphasize this narrative, as both teams have struggled to convert chances recently, with Como's xG average stagnating. With both defenses looking sharp, it makes sense to back the 'No' for the Both Teams to Score market in this clash.

That is how our model reads Como v AS Roma. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article