On Friday 18 September 2026, Chicago Sky play Washington Mystics in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 167.5 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 167.5 Total Points (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
The odds for this game suggest a total points line of under 167.5, which seems promising. Our numbers think both teams are pretty evenly matched, and they expect a combined score closer to 164.8, which is below that line. This could lead to a lower-scoring game, especially with the Chicago Sky and Washington Mystics both looking to tighten their defense. One thing to watch is that the Sky have a slight advantage in travel, but it's not huge. Both teams have had similar success this season, making this matchup feel more balanced. With both teams likely to focus on defense, betting on the under could be a smart play. Just remember, there's always a chance it might not go as planned. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chicago Sky +4 on the Line (-120)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Chicago Sky have been playing well lately, showing they can keep games close. I like them to cover the spread at +4 against the Washington Mystics. The matchup is nearly even, with our numbers saying it's close to a coin flip. Chicago's recent form suggests they can compete effectively, especially since they've had less travel than Washington. The biggest worry is that the Sky might not win, as our model predicts they could lose by just over 2 points. Still, taking the points with Chicago feels like a solid choice here. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sonia Citron Under 16.5 Points (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Sonia Citron has been having a bit of a tough time finding her scoring groove lately. She's averaging just under 4 points in her recent games, which is well below what she needs to hit the 16.5 mark against the Washington Mystics. With the Sky up against a solid defense from the Mystics, it's likely she'll struggle to get the open looks she needs. The Mystics have been pretty good at limiting scoring, especially against players like Citron. The most concrete risk here is that she could surprise everyone with a breakout game, but right now, it seems the odds are in favor of her staying under that points total. This bet has a good chance based on the numbers, but nothing's guaranteed in sports! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Shakira Austin Over 19.5 Points and Assists (-109)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Shakira Austin has been showing some solid scoring lately, and she's been getting to the free-throw line more often than usual. With an average of nearly seven free throws attempted in her recent games, she's likely to rack up points. Plus, her ability to contribute with assists makes this bet look good. The Chicago Sky will be a tough matchup, but Austin's recent form suggests she can rise to the occasion. The biggest concern is that both teams can be close in scoring, so it's not a sure thing. Still, with Austin's skills and current performance, going over 19.5 points and assists feels like a smart choice. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Georgia Amoore Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Georgia Amoore has been struggling to hit shots from beyond the arc lately. In her last five games, she's averaged just over four field goals made, but when it comes to three-pointers, she's only managed to make about 0.8. This suggests she's not finding her rhythm from long distance. Playing at home in Wintrust Arena against the Washington Mystics, the pressure might be on her, but the stats show she's not consistently making those three-pointers. The Mystics are a solid defensive team, which could make it even tougher for her to find open looks. With the bet being set at under 1.5 three-pointers made, there's a good chance she won't reach that mark. Just remember, it's a close matchup, so things could go either way. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Chicago Sky v Washington Mystics. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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