On Friday 23 October 2026, Cagliari play Bologna in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Bologna -0.25 Goal Handicap, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
When Cagliari hosts Bologna, the dynamics suggest a favorable tilt for the visitors. Cagliari has struggled to find the net at home, averaging just 0.8 goals in their last five matches at the Sardegna Arena, while conceding an average of 1.0. Bologna, on the other hand, has shown more attacking prowess, netting 1.2 goals away and boasting a solid record against Cagliari, winning three of their last five encounters. Despite both teams having similar expected goals (xG) averages, Bologna’s ability to generate more shots (11.6) indicates they’re creating better chances. With Cagliari’s defensive frailties evident, especially with a high foul count, Bologna's capacity to disrupt and capitalize could turn the tide. Given these factors, backing Bologna with a -0.25 handicap seems a savvy play, highlighting their potential to edge out a victory in what could be a tightly contested match.
Cagliari vs Bologna: Bologna Moneyline (+145)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Cagliari prepares to host Bologna, recent form and head-to-head trends paint a compelling picture for the visitors. Bologna's away performance has been steadily improving, boasting a solid 3-0-2 record over their last five matches on the road. This contrasts sharply with Cagliari, who have struggled to find their footing at home, managing just a 2-1-2 record lately. When we look at expected goals, Bologna's average of 1.2 per game on the road suggests a more potent attack compared to Cagliari's recent struggles, scoring only 0.8 at home. Moreover, Bologna's past encounters against Cagliari have seen them come out on top more often than not, with a 3-1-1 record in their last five meetings. Given these trends, Bologna stands poised to take all three points in this matchup, making them a strong pick for the win.
That is how our model reads Cagliari v Bologna. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article