Dalton Kincaid (BUF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+190)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the provided statistical data, betting on Dalton Kincaid to score a touchdown anytime during the game between the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals is not recommended. The data paints a clear picture of Kincaid's recent and overall performance. Over his last 20 games, he has only scored once. His hit rate at home games is slightly better with 3 touchdowns in 20 games, but still relatively low. Moreover, when specifically playing against Cincinnati, he has never scored a touchdown. His current hit streak for overall, home games, and against Cincinnati is also zero. Considering his overall hit rate is a mere 4 out of 42 games, the statistical evidence heavily suggests that Dalton Kincaid is unlikely to score a touchdown in the upcoming game. Therefore, the outcome of 'Yes' in the 'player_anytime_td' market seems highly improbable.

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals : Under 53.5 Total Points (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 53.5 bet for this NFL game is premised on several key statistical data points. Firstly, the home team's last five games have seen them average a score of 26 and concede 22.6, resulting in a total of 48.6, which falls under the 53.5 threshold. The away team's score for and against averages over the last five games also total to 60.8. However, it's worth considering their poor away record, conceding an average of 30.2 points while only scoring 15 points on average. This suggests the away team struggles to score on the road, potentially bringing the total points down. Furthermore, both teams have negative turnover differentials in their last five games, which could lead to fewer scoring opportunities. The model edge of 0.0958652849740932 for the under suggests a statistically significant edge against the market expectation, further supporting the under 53.5 bet.

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals : NA Moneyline (+220)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on the Cincinnati Bengals in the "h2h" market is premised on their superior performance indicators compared to their opponents. The Bengals have shown a high scoring average in their last five games (26 points for), coupled with a lower average points conceded (22.6 points against) compared to their opponents' 32 points against. Additionally, the Bengals have a higher EPA (Expected Points Added) for and a lower EPA against, indicating a better overall performance. Their home record in the last five games is also superior at 4-1, compared to the opponents' away record of 1-4. Furthermore, they have a superior home EPA differential of 7.21, indicating a stronger performance at home. Despite their historical record of 0-2 against the opponents, their recent superior performance and advantageous home position make the Cincinnati Bengals a reasonable bet in the head-to-head market.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro