On Friday 23 October 2026, AS Roma play Cagliari in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Cagliari +1.75 Goal Handicap, priced at -164 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As AS Roma prepares to face Cagliari, the stage is set for an intriguing clash. Cagliari's recent form on the road is particularly impressive, boasting a solid away record of 3-1-1 in their last five outings. They’ve managed to find the net consistently, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match. While Roma may be the favorites, they've struggled defensively, conceding 1.2 goals per game in their recent matches. Cagliari’s xG numbers haven’t been spectacular, but they've shown resilience, often creating enough chances to keep games competitive. With Roma’s recent inconsistency, especially in defense, backing Cagliari with a 1.75 handicap feels like a savvy move. They are capable of keeping it close or even securing a positive result, which makes this bet a compelling option as they aim to build on their strong away performances.
AS Roma vs Cagliari: Cagliari Draw No Bet (+600)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As AS Roma prepares to host Cagliari, the away side comes in with a sense of resilience, especially with a 3-1-1 record in their last five away matches. Cagliari may not be lighting up the scoreboard, averaging just 1 goal per game recently, but they’ve shown a knack for grinding out results, holding opponents to a similar tally of 1.2 goals. What’s intriguing is that their recent away form includes an impressive 4-0-1 record in the last five, reflecting a steady improvement. They’ve consistently managed to create chances, registering around 10 shots per game, which suggests they’re poised for a breakthrough. Considering Roma’s vulnerabilities at home and Cagliari's ability to stifle attacks, betting on Cagliari in the Draw No Bet market is looking like a savvy move. They have the momentum, and it’s time for them to capitalize on it.
That is how our model reads AS Roma v Cagliari. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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