On Saturday 26 September 2026, Mickey Gall takes on Sedriques Dumas in the UFC. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Rounds, priced at -118 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 1.5 Total Rounds (-118)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
For this fight between Mickey Gall and Sedriques Dumas, we need both fighters to keep it going past the first round and a half. Gall is known for his grappling, while Dumas likes to strike. If they feel each other out early, we could see a longer fight as they look for openings. Our numbers show this matchup is very close, almost like a coin flip. The age difference is slight, which means both fighters are likely in similar shape. However, there's a real chance they could finish it quickly, making this a bit of a risky pick. Still, if they take their time and explore their styles, we could see more than one and a half rounds tonight. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sedriques Dumas +3.5 on the Line (-125)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Mickey Gall and Sedriques Dumas are both skilled fighters, but this match feels very close. Dumas is known for his striking and has a good shot at keeping the fight competitive. With our numbers showing this matchup is nearly even, betting on Dumas with a 3.5 point spread could be a smart choice. One risk is that Gall has some solid durability, which means he can take a few hits without folding. Still, Dumas has the skills to make this a tight match, and the spread gives him a bit of room to work with. If he can stay on his feet and land some solid punches, he should be in a good spot. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sedriques Dumas to Win (+130)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Sedriques Dumas has been showing some solid skills lately, and he's got a lot of potential as a striker. The odds suggest it's a pretty close fight, making it an interesting pick. The biggest risk here is how evenly matched they are, with both fighters having their strengths. If Gall can get the fight to the ground, he might have a chance to turn things around. Still, I think Dumas's striking could be enough to secure the win. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
The tale of the tape:
- Mickey Gall: last five L-L-L-L-W, dropped the last 4, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 678 days since the last fight
- Sedriques Dumas: last five L-L-L-W-L, dropped the last 3, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 153 days since the last fight
That is how our model reads Mickey Gall v Sedriques Dumas. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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