Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev Prediction & Picks

Ismail Naurdiev has a solid chance to win against Marvin Vettori. Naurdiev is known for his striking skills, and he'll need to keep the fight standing to use them effectively. Vettori is tough and durable, but Naurdiev's style could give him the upper hand in this matchup. The most concrete risk is Vettori's toughness, which makes him hard to finish. Still, Naurdiev's striking ability stands out, and our numbers give him a good chance to come out on top. It was priced at -135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 2.5 Total Rounds (+203)

Marvin Vettori and Ismail Naurdiev both have a strong finishing style, which means they usually aim to end fights quickly. With their skills, it's likely we won't see a long battle in the cage. Our numbers show a good chance that the fight won't go past two and a half rounds, which makes betting on the under appealing. One important detail is that both fighters have shown they can finish opponents early. That said, they're also closely matched, so it could be a tough fight. Still, given their aggressive styles, I think the under 2.5 rounds is a solid pick for this matchup. It was priced at +203 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $30.30 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Marvin Vettori: last five L-L-L-L-W, dropped the last 4, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 301 days since the last fight
• Ismail Naurdiev: last five W-L-W-L-W, won the last fight, 3% of career wins came by knockout, 315 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Marvin Vettori v Ismail Naurdiev. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.